Day 4: Scenario
Welcome to DAY 4 of the learning period of the intensive one week-long event in Interdisciplinary Studies in Developing Cities for People!
The fourth day of the intensive week will be focused on Scenarios. You will listen to the lectures about Scenario work, future thinking, and Social policy. Based on fieldwork and understanding of the project area your Group work will focus on future visions of how the space will change during different periods.
Your task for DAY 4 is to create three visions (based on your fieldwork, understanding, and research) of how your location will develop in the period of 5, 10, and 20 years.
You can see more information about the work and the content of the fourth day below.
LECTURES
- Kristina Henriksson (LAUREA), Päivi Mantere (LAUREA), prof. dr. Alenka Fikfak (UL), assist. Aleš Švigelj (UL): Scenario work, future thinking
- Ewelina Idziak (WSG), dr. Magdalena Bergmann (WSG): Social policy
DESIGNING SCENARIOS
Scenarios are consistent and coherent descriptions of alternative hypothetical futures that reflect different perspectives on past, present, and future developments, which can serve as a basis for action (van Noten, 2005). They serve as a foundation for strategic thinking, aiding in long-term planning, and developmental efforts, and illustrate various potential outcomes, underscoring the fact that the future is not singular but can unfold in multiple ways. Our conscious and unconscious actions influence the realization of these futures, shaping the decisions we make from this moment forward. But the scenarios themselves are only one element in the larger future processes aimed at opening new horizons, clarifying visions, and informing strategic thinking (Schooling for Tomorrow, 2006)
References:
- van Notten, Ph.W.F. (2005), “Writing on the Wall: Scenario Development in Times of Discontinuity”, Dissertation, www.dissertation.com
- Schooling for Tomorrow Think Scenarios, Rethink Education, OECD Publishing, 2006.